![]() ![]() ![]() If Biden successfully builds the emerging Democratic majority, Republicans will find some way to push back. In his view, the center-left and center-right coalitions represent a structural aspect of contemporary democratic political competition and that they are likely, over time, to alternate control of the government: ![]() Judis and Teixeira contended that a moderate “progressive centrism” - something, in other words, that looks a lot like Bidenism - could gain majority status, consistently taking “professionals by about 10 percent, working women by about 20 percent, keep 75 percent of the minority vote and get close to an even split of white working-class voters.”īyler makes the case that Biden and the Democrats are very likely to emerge from the 2020 election with the backing of this progressive-centrist coalition, positioned to “secure a large, balanced majority capable of enacting new progressive laws and possibly able to mitigate losses in a low-turnout midterm” in 2022.īut Byler cautions that the success of any single partisan coalition is likely to be short-lived. How will the winning candidate piece together a victory in 2020?ĭavid Byler, a data analyst for The Washington Post who anticipates a Biden victory, sees the presidential election as the first true affirmation in this century of the “ The Emerging Democratic Majority,” an argument developed by John Judis and Ruy Teixeira in a prescient 2002 book. ![]()
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